The Federal Reserve prediction contract on the Polymarket platform has seen over $560 million in trading volume, revealing strong market attention to the actions of the U.S. monetary authority. Data collected by NS3 indicate a 99% probability that the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged at its latest meeting. Other possibilities—such as raising or lowering interest rates—have a probability of less than 1%, signaling a prevailing consensus among market participants. Despite this high probability of rate stability, prospects for future rate cuts remain uncertain and are debated among analysts.
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The Federal Reserve prediction contract on the Polymarket platform has seen over $560 million in trading volume, revealing strong market attention to the actions of the U.S. monetary authority. Data collected by NS3 indicate a 99% probability that the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged at its latest meeting. Other possibilities—such as raising or lowering interest rates—have a probability of less than 1%, signaling a prevailing consensus among market participants. Despite this high probability of rate stability, prospects for future rate cuts remain uncertain and are debated among analysts.