XRP Countdown: 21 Days to Decide the Fate or Just a Psychological Game?

The XRP market is in a “now or never” situation. As of February 5, 2026, the XRP price is at $1.44, down 9.81% in the past 24 hours, but the crypto community is not just focusing on the current downturn — they are counting down the remaining days to a “destined” opportunity that could change the entire trajectory of this coin. A well-known analyst has just pointed out that we are in a highly critical 21-day window, with XRP Community Day on February 11 acting as a psychological magnet for the upcoming trades.

Breakout Technical Setup: Will XRP Have a Chance to Escape?

Analyst Bird (@Bird_XRPL) recently outlined a technical picture that has stirred the community. According to him, XRP has been stuck below a descending trendline since mid-2025. Currently, at $1.44, this coin is knocking on the door of a major breakout zone — the price range around $1.90-$1.95 is considered a “make or break” point.

If XRP fails to break through these technical barriers within the next 21 days, the momentum needed to reach its all-time high of $3.65 could disappear. Instead, traders will only witness another long, frustrating accumulation phase. That’s why these days are so important.

Market Sentiment: When Extreme Fear Becomes an Opportunity

The current landscape is a “story of two cities.” The technical picture shows favorable factors, but retail sentiment has fallen into extreme fear after the recent global sell-off. Experienced traders on Binance Square know well: this is precisely the moment when fear can generate contrarian bullish signals.

This is supported by a series of positive factors beyond many people’s view. Standard Chartered forecasts up to $10 billion in ETF capital flows by 2026, targeting an $8.00 price. The new CLARITY law has brought regulatory clarity, laying a structural foundation for sustainable price growth. All of these are waiting for the “storm” — and XRP Community Day on February 11 could be that spark.

The Remaining 21 Days: Key Price Levels to Break

To escape the “stuck” situation, XRP needs to overcome a series of technical hurdles. First, breaking above $2.00 and turning $2.12 into support is the initial step. Next, crossing the 100-day EMA near $2.22 will confirm a true trend reversal.

Conversely, if XRP drops to $1.85, warnings of a “final sell-off” could send the price down to $1.60 before a major recovery. That’s why monitoring trading volume is so crucial — without real buying pressure, these countdown days could just be another “fakeout.”

February 11: Turning Point or Just Hope?

XRP Community Day on February 11, 2026, is not just any event. It acts as a strong psychological pull for buy trades. Coupled with the 21-day timeframe highlighted by analysts, this event becomes a potential turning point — or just another hope.

Whether XRP becomes a legend like in 2017 or not, one thing is certain: the upcoming volatility will make many reconsider their strategies. The community is counting down, and these 21 days will tell all the stories that matter.