2.11 Click, click, click—the sound of the rotating harvest. Hang in there a little longer!

First Like, Then Read, Earning Millions Daily, Keep Going and Tip, Good Luck Always! [Taogu Ba]

First, an Overview of the Market

Let’s start with a quick thought on the morning session, focusing on AI applications. Yesterday morning was very strong, with a high single-character strength, good initial board fermentation. By logic, today should strengthen further, but a reminder: the next two days before the New Year are a dense period of profit-taking, and almost all participation is quantitative, with very few retail investors. This results in few stocks reversing the trend. At the same time, the characteristic of the quantitative market is that it starts flat and spreads quickly, showing width but not height. When profits are taken, they are taken all at once, leading to poor emotional consistency in buying, and poor emotional consistency leads to everyone selling to you. Yesterday’s closing saw giant forces and GCL-Poly both competing for chips, indicating that funds are making expectations for a second day of divergence in AI applications. A point to note: ETF limit-ups the next day generally mean bad news. Yesterday, the film ETF hit the limit, and today the film sector shows the largest negative feedback. Previously, it was gold ETF, and before that, satellite communication ETF.

Baichuan today is very strong, with divergence starting right at the open based on AI applications, and it didn’t look back. Funds are hedging, Baichuan advanced strongly to a four-board, breaking the previous limit, with low-position fermentation in chemicals and non-ferrous metals catching up. So perhaps the current rhythm is one round of tech rally, then a price increase rally.

On the second entry to third-tier stocks, yesterday there were twenty stocks, and today the upgrade rate is decent, but most upgrades are single-character openings, with few genuine turnovers. This indicates that market sentiment is off; most upgrades rely on硬顶 (hard resistance), and when sentiment divergence hits a ceiling, it collapses. Zhangyue Technology’s bidding orders are larger than yesterday, as expected—yesterday’s fermentation was better than the day before. Surprising is Dawi, where computing power fermentation was average yesterday, but today the orders are larger, so early morning computing strength surpasses AI applications, which is the logic of selling shovelers. Regardless of whether companies using SD are reducing costs or increasing efficiency, the greater the demand for SD, the greater the demand for computing power. Fengyu Zhu was once a turnover stock with full momentum in the morning, but its first flaw is debt; the second is what I mentioned: today it still opened uniformly, but once uniform turns into divergence and a single-character opens, funds will prioritize the single-character, which makes turnover stocks more vulnerable to being dumped. Hengdian Film and TV mainly suffered from yesterday’s suspension warning, and today the negative feedback source is it. The divergence in film and TV is very large; Huanyu is also blown up.

On the first entry to second-tier stocks, it’s quite funny—three stocks upgraded. The first node is wrong, and the second indicates weak fund positioning before the holiday. Looking at today’s thinking, currently, there’s no retail involvement, no counter-trend recognition, mostly quantitative spreading, which lacks structure. They can earn a point and run, not to mention the recent flat spread. Also, the flaws of AI applications have been discussed: if yesterday’s breakout was driven by old AI, with expectations of new highs, that’s good and shows high sector recognition. But yesterday was obvious: old stocks like Blue Cursor, Lio, Zhit, Zhejiang Wen, etc., are not performing well, dragging the sector down. When old highs can’t be broken, stocks like Chinese Online, which previously rebounded without participation, are stimulated by positive news and rise, but most old stocks only form double tops, so naturally they dare not go all-in high.

Looking at the bidding information, Changer’s opening was in line with expectations, and Huanyu also had large orders, indicating sector strengthening overnight. After some cancellations, compare the bidding strength with yesterday. People’s Daily also faked a move—initially large orders—indicating that Xinhua News and Wasu Media, both AI review stocks, were expected to perform, but People’s Daily withdrew, and the other two naturally didn’t meet expectations. The AI application bidding was uniformly open, with many single-character bids, with Bona also placing large single bids. The clear signal here is that turnover is hard to do because of so many single-character bids; yesterday’s turnover with single-character bids today is used to gauge recognition. Those still turning over today are naturally in the back row. Once you understand this, Fengyu Zhu won’t go today.

Looking at old AI stocks, SD should be strengthening, and old AI stocks should at least open red in batches, but they are all green, meaning they are not giving face. This indicates that SD stocks are all hard resistance, and they haven’t lifted the overall sector sentiment, indirectly showing strong profit-taking desire. Otherwise, why would old AI stocks keep being dumped during SD’s strength?

After 9:20, real orders appear. Changer’s orders are larger than yesterday, consistent with sector divergence expectations—front rows strengthen, back rows fall behind. Huanyu’s orders are smaller than yesterday, indicating increased divergence in film and TV. Dacai’s large orders yesterday turned into small orders today, which is inconsistent. Large orders in the big positions increased, and Tefa also placed a single-character bid, indicating expectations of strengthening in computing power. From this, we see that AI applications will diverge, but computing power needs to strengthen.

At 9:25, Yabo is grabbing chips, and GCL-Poly is rallying red. This also indirectly indicates divergence in AI. Photovoltaics have been hostile to AI; today these two stocks’ statements suggest AI applications will diverge at least at the opening. But after opening, although Yabo’s second board is quick and GCL-Poly rises eight points, the overall sector didn’t follow, and AI applications are being realized, with photovoltaics also being liquidated. So today is the main realization day, warning not to chase impulsively. Why does the price increase line rise? Still for hedging—because price increases are hard to falsify, while technology is easier.

Multiple layers of bidding information show that computing power is okay; large orders in big positions strengthen, and Tefa’s single bid increases beyond expectations. Wangsu yesterday reduced holdings but today opened higher. If it were another day, perhaps the strength of computing power would be higher, but even with this unexpected strength, it’s not very strong. Essentially, the quantitative strategy today is profit-taking and defense. Without significant surprises in the price increase line, continuous fermentation is unlikely. Naturally, tech stocks can only rotate, returning to the rhythm of non-ferrous metals’ price increases, which can’t be chased at all.

Overall, today’s market is quite unpleasant. Don’t chase blindly after the fact. AI applications diverged at the open, with single-character bids dominating—those who are more tough get blown up, and turnover stocks are even harder to hold. Yabo was very strong today, trying to gauge AI divergence, but I don’t know if there’s an expectation gap. The market shrank in volume, with last transactions barely reaching 200 billion, but limited funds in the market shifted to non-ferrous metals and chemicals for hedging, causing a severe bloodletting in tech stocks. Under AI divergence, photovoltaics tried to rebound but were smashed. At noon, due to a rocket launch, aerospace stocks surged; I warned not to chase because the early position was taken yesterday—it’s a game of expectations. Those who took positions yesterday are brave, but if today fails, they’ll be buried. So, if you see positive news today, don’t rush in; it’s a trap. In the afternoon, it was basically garbage time, with the index falling all the way down from a broad rise in the morning to a broad decline, with various themes rotating but without strength. Everyone in the market knows these are the days of fund outflows, so those who try to push will be met with profit-taking. Overall, tomorrow morning should still be a rotation and profit-taking market; watch whether funds have started to position in the afternoon. AI applications may have a rebound opportunity tomorrow, but given the current environment, I fear that rebound will be profit-taking first, and caution is necessary unless there’s a top-tier opportunity. Otherwise, it’s better not to act lightly.

Summary of Daily Operations

Yujing Co., yesterday reduced attention; today, GCL-Poly also rose eight points but didn’t rally, so I unfollowed.

Jiecheng Co., opened with a pre-set plan and fell sharply without quickly recovering, breaking the intraday moving average, so I exited.

Yesterday, I focused on Yabo, which cooperated with GCL-Poly’s weak-to-strong pattern. Later, the conditional orders placed were blown out, so I unfollowed, but surprisingly, it held very well.

Thanks again to all brothers who tipped yesterday: @ZhuShengLongTouKongKongLong @LangWangXingQianLi @dandy3574 @JiuCaiJiuCai @1555999 @ChenXiaoYue @BoRen @WoShiHanPaoPao @DivingBrew @Nirvana2018 @StolenLetter

Special thanks to Top Tipper @NaiLaZhuMao @HuanChu and second-tier @HuaXinYouShi and third-tier @NanjingYibu

Thanks again for the support and tips from @HongLiuGong @QingBingZaiChuangXia @QingXiaoHuai @WeiMengQingCheng @lyh98888 @JunHaoDaNa @BaiGeWangZhang @XiaoTianYi @ChaDuoXianShengLai @Elite @XiangNiuErSheng @AoLiAoSiYuan @TianCaiXiaoHuoLongL @MaoMaoFaCaiMao @Lee1987 @shaks @MattGe @zqzq1996 @HuaXinYouShi @HaoYunHaHaHa @XiXiHaHaDeZhiXingHeYi @XiaoDuXiaoDu96 @YiYiNiu @LangWangXingQianLi @WeiJiDaiDaiMaiMuDan @ZhiXingHeYi168067 @YongGanDeZhuZhu @RenJianYiBuGouXieWanSheng @DaoQianKun1 @FaFaFaCaiFaFa @BianYa @ZhuanZhuChaoDuanLongTou @LiangHu @BaiChengXiongDi @HuiBenJiuHuiWuWuWu @QiLuKanChangBenXunMa @sdffghhjkkk @ZiDongQiaoMuYu @XiaoXiaoHuaGeGe @ZhangShiXun @BuYanBuYu @Cheng888 @DaMaoBuZuoZaMao @NaXiaoXianSheng @ZiJinHua @ZhangYouJin @YiKouPoZhong @NanjingYiBu @JiePanDeXiaoJiuCai @WangDeFa @RuoShuiZiYan @JiuHuangAPan @dandy3574 @AAAAKang @BuDongm @YouShouJiuLing @ChanYingHaoChi @BuZuoJiuCaiHaoDuoNian @ChuXueChaoGu99 @ZGXDaiDai @KaiSen @JiangXiXiao @ZuoShouHuaYu @ZaiXiaAGuGuJianChou @ZheJiangYuYaoRenZhangLangEBa111 @YiYiLuHong @NinDeHaoLinJuWangGe @ShuiYangJiangPan @Are21 @XiXiXiXi @RanShaoDeHongHeRiGuYeDiao @ChiMianDaRen @PaoMoDongDong @guyd @HongTaoKDeShiJie @BanGuanShui888 @magickang @ZhangZhiYouShiShiWan @YanBianCiKe @FADELiuNian @ZhangBuWan @agag777 @DuFeiLun @FreedomHangTian @GuQinYang You guys are the brothers silently supporting me from the start. Wishing everyone daily prosperity!

No need for many oil tickets, seven are enough. Thanks for the highlights; they motivate me to keep updating.