Analyst: Strong non-farm payrolls may reduce the likelihood of interest rate cuts in the first half of the year, but it is still too early to rule them out entirely.

SmartContractAuditor · 2026-02-11T10:56:14+00:00

Odaily Planet Daily reports that investment analyst Justin Low pointed out that the market is focused on non-farm employment data. Traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 60 basis points, with a possible 25 basis point cut in June. If non-farm data is strong, it may extend the period of stable interest rates and reduce the risk of rate cuts, but the possibility of rate cuts in June or July still exists.

SmartContractAuditor

2026-02-11 10:56:14

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Odaily Planet Daily News reports that Investinglive analyst Justin Low stated that all eyes are focused on the non-farm payroll data, as market participants are waiting for the news to react. Currently, traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by approximately 60 basis points this year, with the June meeting already priced in for the next 25 basis point rate cut. The weak consumer outlook presented yesterday naturally reinforced this pricing expectation. If today’s non-farm payroll data shows strong performance and the unemployment rate remains stable, it suggests that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period. In an optimistic scenario, this could significantly reduce the risk of rate cuts in the first half of the year. However, given the mixed signals conveyed by yesterday’s US consumer data, it is still premature to completely rule out further rate cuts in June or July. (Jin10)

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