[Red Envelope] February 11: Emotional chaos, light position betting; fewer breakouts, more dips buying.

Thought is a form of power, so you must protect a pure and upward spiritual practice. Look at this, I won’t say more—being able to encounter a black swan even in a car ride is either a punishment from heaven or just bad luck. From now on, I won’t get entangled with bad people or bad affairs to avoid affecting my mood. I still curse and complain verbally, but I honestly review and write posts to feel at ease before sleep. Once this habit is formed, not doing it makes me uncomfortable. Everyone needs an emotional outlet, but work still must be done. Recently, you should understand the benefits of position splitting—it’s about risk diversification. When truly faced with risks, it doesn’t matter; maintaining a good mindset is more important. [Taogu Ba]

The A-share market staged a grand “index as the stage, cycle as the song” performance on the second last trading day before the holiday. The Shanghai Composite stubbornly closed with seven consecutive positive days, but the ChiNext Index fell over 1%. The total trading volume across the two markets dropped below 2 trillion yuan for the first time this year, indicating strong risk aversion among funds.

Index performance: Shanghai Composite up 0.09%, at 4131.98 points; Shenzhen Component down 0.35%; ChiNext down 1.08%. Trading volume: total turnover of 1.98 trillion yuan, shrinking by over 120 billion yuan from the previous day, with net outflows of 42.858 billion yuan from main funds; hitting a 31 trading day low. 2049 stocks rose, 3241 fell, with 5 stocks hitting the limit down, indicating weak profit-taking effects.

**

**

The biggest feature of today’s market is “high-low switching.” Funds are rapidly retreating from overcrowded high-tech sectors and flowing into low-priced cyclical sectors with price increase logic.

🔴 Leading sectors (cyclical price increases):

  1. Non-ferrous metals (+2.57%): Tungsten and rare earths lead. Logic based on supply constraints (tight tungsten concentrate indicators) and resonance with emerging industry demand. Representative stocks: Xianglu Tungsten (first limit-up), Zhangyuan Tungsten.
  2. Basic chemicals (+1.48%): Price hikes in disperse dyes, catalyzed by export tax rebate policies. Representative stocks: Baichuan Co. (4 consecutive limit-ups), Jihua Group (4 limit-ups in 5 days).
  3. Building materials / fiberglass (+3.29%): AI computing power demand spills over to upstream materials, electronic fabric supply-demand tensions intensify, leading to the fourth price increase this year by leading companies. Representative stocks: International Composite Materials (limit-up), China National Stone.

🟢 Leading sectors (funds cashing out):

  1. Cultural media / AI applications (-1.99%): Hengdian Film & TV hit the limit down, Chinese Online plunged. Funds are cashing out before the holiday, with high-flying stocks retreating collectively.
  2. Communications / CPO (-2.17%): Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng lead the decline. U.S. stock market reflects “aesthetic fatigue,” combined with holiday risk aversion and position reduction.

However, if you’ve been studying quantitative strategies recently, you should know that today’s game point is actually in cultural media and AI applications. Therefore, my low-entry position today is here!

Three, in-depth analysis of continuous limit-up teams:
Today’s continuous limit-up teams show the characteristic of “highly isolated deep pursuit, mid-tier batch break.”

Only Baichuan Co. remains with four consecutive limit-ups, becoming the sole absolute high;
While there are 7 stocks with three consecutive limit-ups, most are passively promoted and are actually at the end of their strength.

Baichuan Co., with four limit-ups, is in chemicals/dispersed dyes and energy storage intermediates, with price increases and capacity release of sodium battery cathode materials. Continuous shrinking volume limit-ups, high lock-in of chips. Market leader. 11 days with 8 limit-ups, purely emotional speculation, a feast for holders. But this is a tail market, no need to participate.

Large-cap Tech with three limit-ups: leasing AI computing power tied to the East Data West Computing project, benefiting from explosive demand for AI computing power. Continuous shrinking volume, one-word limit-up. Computing power pioneer. Strong chip lock-in, but beware of trailing stocks falling behind.

Jihua Group, with three limit-ups: change of controlling shareholder + price hikes in disperse dyes. Breakout with 5 days of 4 limit-ups, resolutely holding the limit. Chemical sector with rebound potential. Driven by hot money, but the theme relevance is weak.

Zhangyue Technology, with three limit-ups: AI application, early core target with AI + IP. Resiliently re-closed under sector retreat today. AI application survivor. Significant reduction in order volume, chips loosening.

Huanrui Century, with three limit-ups: AI short dramas, driven by early AI video model catalysts, sentiment continues. Media follow-through. Divergence increased in late trading, sector shows large polarization.

Zhangyue Co., with three limit-ups: decoration and building materials, funds betting on infrastructure stability before the holiday. Infrastructure representative. Continuous turnover limit-ups, relatively independent.

Longyun Co., with three limit-ups: cultural media, following media sector sentiment. Late followers. Multiple openings during trading, divergence intensifies.

Decai Co., with three limit-ups: building decoration, early AI + design concept leader. Suspected of being a “stock with a big position.” Sector retreat led to a weak close, chips loosening.

Fetai Information, with two limit-ups: AI computing and optical fiber, expectations of AI demand transmitting to communication infrastructure. Communication sector leader. Divergence turned to consensus intra-day, strong fund support.

Cuyhua Co., with two limit-ups: chemical sector following the chemical price hike trend. Chemical sector laggard. Volume expansion and rebound from decline intra-day, moderate strength.

Xiaosong Co., with two limit-ups: early AI + theme stocks. Independent trend. Rising against the sector trend, doubtful independence.

Two-limit-up stocks that improved yesterday but performed poorly today—signs are not good, mainly sell first!

**

Also, I’ve given a clear reminder: I fully closed my positions in the morning, then bought again at a high when I saw Tolitong rebound.**

Pre-holiday forecast: Tomorrow (February 12) is the last trading day before the holiday and the last day for funds to withdraw and sell.
The market is expected to continue shrinking and oscillating, with selling pressure likely concentrated in the early session.

  1. Operation suggestions: JuLi SuoJu挂跌停, others to watch the trend and decide during bidding. Currently, market consensus is very strong; the main index is no longer following everyone’s wishes. Otherwise, I would have written about the retreat phase and gone all cash early. Why gamble? Why call it a chaotic period? Recent consecutive positive days are proof. Therefore, I’ve started playing the breakout game. Knowledge is static; the market and people are alive. Always perceive the market, not fixed opinions. Yesterday’s effective pattern might be today’s killer. Always keep yourself empty, only follow the market objectively, and you will be invincible! Let’s encourage each other!

Holding stocks over the holiday: historical data shows a “red envelope market” after the holiday. It’s recommended to keep about 50% of positions over the holiday.
Direction focus: pay attention to non-ferrous and chemical sectors supported by price increase logic, and to leasing concepts benefiting from computing network construction.

People just started charging gold powder, and I said I’d stop updating—definitely not kind! This article was written in the middle of the night, for this gold powder @EvilOctopus. Qianqian is a kind person; remember that, I won’t cheat you! No matter how emotional, you come first! Heartfelt! Actions speak louder than words!

The six-word mantra of Qianyu system: Timing; Trend; Stocks!
Timing: emotional cycle! Trend: profit effect! Stocks: leading matrix!
Choose leading stocks (continuous limit-up leaders, trend leaders), follow main line trends, market consensus stocks;
Use position management + emotional nodes + decisive action to achieve steady profits, monthly gains!
Randomly dazzling, but I profit from the confusion!
Always adapt to change, follow the shifts, respond at any time! That’s my core principle!
Just like every negotiation, it’s a game. We respond to the opponent’s moves—nothing more!

I’ve also written about basic knowledge system learning in previous posts, and will keep updating. What else do you want me to write? Leave a comment.
Click the links below to watch:
How to identify leading stocks and profit from them (https://www.tgb.cn/a/2lVJesXRnSx)
How to understand auction bidding (https://www.tgb.cn/a/2mdRPFSXzpq)
How to quickly read intraday charts (trend stocks) (https://www.tgb.cn/a/2lS3ikQAB8r)
Trend trading methods suitable for office workers (https://www.tgb.cn/a/2lP5bzsGE1f)
How to view “flying away” issues (https://www.tgb.cn/a/2mwJPk1eIFs)
The more concise I am, the easier you understand—no fluff, just confidence.

@DreamPiggy @Nirvana2018, two big brothers, keep it up! I’m honored! Fans can follow them—they are real veteran investors, very fierce!
Thanks also to others supporting me, keeping me on the top of the essence list. Truly, I write posts based on strength, all points are from professional analysis, not involved in hype or industry chain promotion. A little tip jar is fine!

Today’s main focus is to thank those who tipped! Because of you, I can’t bear to stop updating. Love you all! Show yourselves to express gratitude! Heartfelt!
Welcome @EvilOctopus to upgrade to gold powder and join our “Money Growing Army.” From now on, participate fully in “Sharing Gains with You”! If you have questions later, I will prioritize replying. Love you! Heart!
Long Yi @FutureKe 3000 points! Another big brother, haha, happy!
Long Er: @WangDaru 2000 points~ and co-leader Long San @yanhu198307 @LuzhiTrader @DragonHunterLiuYiduo 1000 points!
And @ZuoJingGuanTianXia0526 @LingShangJinCha @BuNan @A Cup of Tea for Life @WhenWillPeopleGrowUp @TinyPikachu @YiluoQianxi @YiluoXiangBei1995 @LearnEmotionToTrade @SeaPicker @ZhaoChen @YunGuard @NeverGiveUp123456 @A3000LifeSea @Nirvana2018 @ThatFadingSea @YouRendongYuX @gy1400w @RhythmSnail @XiangZhangWang @NamelessWeed @FullShipClear @EmptyPositionJunior @BlackFaceStar @FanFan77 @XuKe @ChenFafa @MoonForest @SevenTears @StinkyFish233 @WeekendHotpot @Bet @NewbieWhite @MuHongQuan @JGreatSea @TradingWithNoMoney @CompoundInterestClimb @YiTengStockRaisingThreeKids @DaXun2134848 @WangDaru @TinyPikachu—total tips from 32 people! So happy!
Welcome to join the “Money Growing Army” if you want a shiny fan badge! Remember, what you learn and earn, quickly top up—let me remember you, haha! Be kind and reciprocal! This is just a drizzle! More interaction can also turn you into silver powder. For those in real difficulty, a 100-point tip post or a 200-point live broadcast tip can help. If you’re reluctant to do even this, and keep asking me for stock advice every day—honestly, three to five free times are fine, beyond that I’d rather not bother. Everyone’s time and energy are precious; I focus on supporting those who support me. Maybe other posters are more powerful, but think—if you stay with me for half a year, what level can I reach?! I’m now with a streak of limit-up stocks on the left and strong trending stocks on the right, almost all day long, doing whatever the market brings! Choose me, haha! Recently, my aesthetic has improved; fewer stocks catch my eye. Remember: No junk stocks, no falling for traps!

Notice: I will start broadcasting again on February 14! Before the holiday, Valentine’s Day—haha, I realize you are truly my family!
The first live session is on Mid-Autumn Festival, the last before the New Year, Valentine’s Day! Perfect! Family + lovers!! It’s you, it’s you, and it’s you!
Schedule: 8:00–9:30 PM, don’t bring your lovers, spending time with them is more important. Come alone and date me instead.
I will do my best to avoid violations this time. You should be able to hear the replay, but I might get tongue-tied explaining cases—embarrassing! Come if you can!

Note: The above is just personal sharing, not investment advice. Refuse mindless follow-the-tape trading. Understand before buying. Profit and loss are your own responsibility.
Risk reminder: The above review is based on public data compilation and does not constitute investment advice. The market has risks; invest cautiously.

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