Gold’s Decade-Long Rally Nears Historical End Zone

BTC0,33%

Gold hits $5,600 after 427% surge since 2016. Historical patterns suggest major rotation into stocks and crypto could follow decade-long super run.

Gold just touched $5,600 last month. The precious metal is up 427% since 2016. According to Bull Theory on X, gold has now entered the zone where every major bull run historically ended.

The pattern repeats across decades. Gold doesn’t climb forever.

When Super Runs Actually Stop

From 1970 to 1980, gold surged 2,403%. The next super run happened between 2001 and 2011. That rally delivered 655% gains. Now we’re in the third major cycle.

Each run lasts about 9-10 years. Then gold cools off for years.

Bull Theory notes inflation usually cools before peaks arrive. Real rates start moving up. The Federal Reserve tightens policy for extended periods. The dollar stabilizes. Risk appetite returns to markets.

Policy shifts often mark the end. In 1980, gold topped and stocks began a 20-year uptrend. When gold peaked again in 2011, it went sideways for years while equities entered another long bull market through the 2010s.

The current cycle started in 2016. We’re now in year 10. Gold recently pushed to new highs around $5.6k.

That doesn’t confirm a top. But it signals something important, according to Bull Theory. We are no longer early in this move. The decade-long window is maturing.

Crypto Changes Everything This Time

Previous gold peaks led to rotations into stocks only. In 1980, crypto didn’t exist. Bitcoin was tiny and ignored in 2011.

2026 looks different. Crypto now has institutional participation. ETFs trade actively. Public companies hold BTC on balance sheets. The investor base grew massively compared to prior cycles.

If the classic post-Gold rotation happens again, capital might flow differently. Instead of just gold to stocks, we could see gold to stocks plus Bitcoin plus high-beta crypto assets.

Crypto joined the risk-on world. When gold super runs mature, stocks typically get long runways for growth. This cycle enters that same late-stage decade window.

The historical mix included inflation cooling, rates rising, and Fed tightening. Those factors ended previous runs. Risk appetite shifted back to growth assets.

Capital rotated out of gold. Equities absorbed the flows for years or decades. Now, crypto stands ready as the new player that could absorb part of the next rotation, Bull Theory suggests.

Gold moved in 10-year super trends historically. The current run already delivered 427% gains. Different decades showed the same pattern – hard runs followed by long cooldowns.

Bitcoin wasn’t part of previous rotations. The 2026 market structure changed fundamentally. Institutional money flows into crypto through regulated products now.

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