Clear stance: Commercial space considers "holding shares during festivals"

Recently, I’ve been discussing commercial aerospace quite a bit. Some friends have only a partial understanding and hold strong opinions. Therefore, I’m posting this separately to share my current thoughts. [Taoguba]
Regarding the overall market, a large portion of active funds before the holiday are gradually entering a休假状态, leading to continued shrinking of market volume, with today’s volume dropping below 2 trillion. Tomorrow is the last “gold-collecting day” before the holiday, so expectations should not be too high. However, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen for seven consecutive days, so there’s no need to be bearish; the overall approach leans toward “holding stocks through the holiday.” If there isn’t a big rally before the holiday, a pullback after the holiday is also expected.
Market volume shrinking usually results in: (1) a冷清 market, where quantitative effects become more prominent; (2) increased volatility, making chasing highs prone to pullbacks; (3) lack of持续性 in热点, with extreme轮动. Today, 1,977 stocks rose, while 9 declined significantly; 3 stocks successfully broke through after an initial rise. Yesterday’s big gains in影视院线, short dramas, gaming, and文化传媒 sectors saw the worst declines today, ranking among the top in market decline.
On hotspots, my personal views are: (1) Price increase lines are relatively prominent, with chemical and electronics sectors爆发 today. These爆发 are not driven by information but by逻辑, so they may have better持续性. (2) Commercial aerospace—some teachers who can’t grasp the rhythm externally are not optimistic, but think carefully: are there any negatives or hopes for commercial aerospace? Today, the Long March 10 rocket system’s low-altitude demonstration test and the Dream舟 manned spacecraft system’s maximum dynamic pressure escape flight test succeeded, marking a significant milestone and fully indicating that the industry is in an upward phase, nearing爆发点. In this state, big-picture,敏锐性, and forward-looking capital should not be pessimistic but should关注 on dips. What if we keep关注 for several months? Tonight, the news broadcast reported the success of the Long March 10 flight test, which is sufficiently热度. Today’s weakness indicates that the W-structure we repeatedly emphasize in daily live broadcasts is working quite well, so if there’s a decline tomorrow, I lean toward adding positions. (3) AI applications—yesterday, it was the top in the entire market, meaning there will be修复 after a correction, but today’s differentiation is not enough yet. The reason is that recent market没有高度, and the three stocks with three板 today may continue to release分歧 tomorrow. (4) Photovoltaic/energy sectors—similar rhythm to commercial aerospace, with修复预期, so I am not bearish.
In practice, I previously mentioned that the first wave of情绪炒作 in commercial aerospace has ended, and we are now entering the逻辑炒作阶段. The sector recently follows a very clear W rhythm. The chart below shows the content I’ve been regularly推演 and分享 in my training camp:

Recently, the training camp has been focusing on commercial aerospace, generally following this rhythm. Every noon, the live training explains this rhythm repeatedly. When to做加法, when to做减法—it’s all very clear! Regarding specific targets, the training camp’s approach is: (1) based on recent热点, mainly关注 related stocks to this回收, including main board and ChiNext, all performed very well today. (2) Strong fundamentals—关注 the only listed platform under 航天一院 and companies with明确中标 in maritime回收, which are all具有稀缺性 and high辨识度. (3) Adjusted to the right level—such as during an uptrend, a slight回调 to the 10-day moving average, which happened today, but the overall格局 remains. I’ve shared the均线战法 multiple times in live broadcasts, so老朋友们 should be very familiar.
In media, yesterday the focus was on 某某网, which表现出顶格, and today opened高开 and then关盘; old friends may know that mm科传 was unaffected by the板块 today, still走出正反馈 independently; 某出版 slightly回落, retracing yesterday’s gains.
In batteries, I’ve been关注 stocks that have been不断创新高 recently.
The training camp also参考了前期合富中国的思路，关注了具有“祝福元素”的某个独立个股，寓意祝福各位朋友新的一年多金又富贵！
My personal views are for reference only and may not be accurate.

Disclaimer:
Investing involves risks. Trading requires caution. Plans are never faster than market changes. Follow the market movements. The content of this article reflects personal ideas and records, representing my understanding of the market, for personal sharing only. It does not constitute any investment advice. Trade at your own risk!