KeyBanc upgrades Timken stock to Overweight on industrial cycle inflection

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KeyBanc Capital Markets has upgraded Timken (NYSE:TKR) stock from Sector Weight to Overweight with a $130 price target, anticipating an industrial cycle inflection and value creation initiatives from its new CEO. This upgrade, made ahead of the company’s analyst day in May, projects a 17% EPS CAGR from 2025-2028 if Timken achieves mid-single-digit growth and strong incremental margins. This follows Timken’s strong Q4 2025 financial performance, which exceeded earnings and revenue expectations.

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