The U.S. government shutdown before Valentine's Day shows an approximately 48% probability according to the latest data from Polymarket, a decentralized market prediction platform. This figure has decreased from the previous level of 57%, reflecting a shift in market sentiment. To date, over $87,000 has been wagered on this government shutdown prediction, indicating significant investor interest in forecasting the outcome of U.S. fiscal policy. Odaily reports that fluctuations in this probability reflect the negotiation dynamics in Congress regarding federal budget approval.

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