PEPE Meme - Which Time Is the Bottom, and Where Is the Money Flowing?

PEPE has become a controversial topic within the crypto community. The meme coin that once reached the heights of expectations is now experiencing a sharp decline, but beneath the poor numbers, prudent capital is quietly accumulating positions. Could this be the last chance before a strong recovery or just another market trap? ## Trash Price, But On-Chain Data Tells a Different Story The figures on the price chart are frightening. PEPE is currently trading at very low levels, with a weekly decline of -3.42%, -40.66% over the month, and a total drop of -62.33% over the past year. From its peak, this meme has lost most of its value, leaving many investors shaking their heads in disappointment. However, this is precisely when blockchain data begins to send different signals. When prices are at their worst, silent accumulation often occurs. Long-term holders—those confident in the project’s long-term potential—are quietly opening positions, ignoring the panic selling screams from the crowd. ## MVRV Reversal, Long-Term Holders Catch the Bottom The MVRV ratio (the ratio between market price and average cost basis) is about to turn positive after months in the negative zone. This shift is no coincidence—it indicates that the process of “weeding out” the weak hands, those lacking patience to wait, is nearly complete. When MVRV crosses above zero, it means that the remaining PEPE holders are the most committed. This is a sign that the market has been cleansed, weak investors have exited, and what remains is a solid foundation for the next phase. ## RSI Oversold Signal, Technical Rebound in Progress The RSI (Relative Strength Index) has dropped to 30, a classic indicator that the market is oversold. This is not a bad sign—in fact, it often marks a turning point. In recent hours, the price has begun to recover slightly, suggesting a short-term technical rebound is forming. The recovery path is never straight, but when RSI signals oversold conditions and prices start to bounce, it’s a crucial sign. The flow of capital entering now is from the most prudent market participants. ## Recovery Path: From $0.0000040 to Where? The key support level now is $0.0000040—this is the line between life and death. If PEPE can hold this level, the upward journey opens up. If it breaks, the road ahead will be much more difficult. In an optimistic scenario, a bounce from here could target $0.00000450 within the next week. If momentum persists, $0.0000070 could be in sight by the end of Q1. The long-term recovery scenario expects PEPE to reclaim $0.000010 in the second half of the year, with even potential to reach $0.000020 by year-end if initial steps succeed. ## Risks and Opportunities – Dead Cat or Sleeping Giant? This is the question everyone is asking. The price looks very uncomfortable, but on-chain data paints a completely different picture. Accumulation is happening, but only for those willing to look beyond the surface and analyze the numbers rather than just the price on the chart. PEPE, which lost 62% in a year, is also the time when long-term holders began accumulating at the worst levels. As long as the $0.0000040 support remains solid, the least resistant path is upward. Opportunities and risks always go hand in hand. The question for you is: are you waiting for the final signal, or afraid of missing out this time? Analysis and data from Trading Insight are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Please conduct thorough research before making any decisions.