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MatthewDixon
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MatthewDixon
Why do Traditional Indicators Underperform in Crypto?
#Crypto is:
24/7
Derivatives dominated
Highly reflexive
Liquidity driven
Whale manipulated
News/macro reactive
Indicators lag.
Crypto moves on:
Stop hunts
Liquidations
Orderbook imbalances
Funding extremes
Liquidity pools
INDICATORS REACT AFTER THOSE MOVES.
RAW STRUCTURE (ELLIOTT WAVE) AND LIQUIDITY MAPPING WINS EVERY TIME (when properly understood) IMO
#Crypto is:
24/7
Derivatives dominated
Highly reflexive
Liquidity driven
Whale manipulated
News/macro reactive
Indicators lag.
Crypto moves on:
Stop hunts
Liquidations
Orderbook imbalances
Funding extremes
Liquidity pools
INDICATORS REACT AFTER THOSE MOVES.
RAW STRUCTURE (ELLIOTT WAVE) AND LIQUIDITY MAPPING WINS EVERY TIME (when properly understood) IMO
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Are you worried?
“THE WORLD IS IN PERIL” warned the former head of Anthropic’s Safeguards Research team as he headed for the exit. A researcher for OpenAI, similarly on the way out, said that the technology has “a potential for manipulating users in ways we don’t have the tools to understand, let alone prevent.”
They’re part of a wave of artificial intelligence researchers and executives who aren’t just leaving their employers — they’re loudly ringing the alarm bell on the way out, calling attention to what they see as bright red flags.
“THE WORLD IS IN PERIL” warned the former head of Anthropic’s Safeguards Research team as he headed for the exit. A researcher for OpenAI, similarly on the way out, said that the technology has “a potential for manipulating users in ways we don’t have the tools to understand, let alone prevent.”
They’re part of a wave of artificial intelligence researchers and executives who aren’t just leaving their employers — they’re loudly ringing the alarm bell on the way out, calling attention to what they see as bright red flags.
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PermaBulls are always saying you MUST use Log scale for #Crypto.
I respectfully disagree. I believe it is just a tool to justify sky high price predictions.
What Log Scale Actually Does -
Linear scale means, equal vertical distance = equal price change
Whereas Log scale means, equal vertical distance = equal % change
In assets that compound (#stocks, #gold), log scale is usually preferred for long-term charts because markets move in percentages, not #dollars.
However, early Crypto Was Price Discovery, Not Growth
In early #Bitcoin (2010–2013 especially)
I respectfully disagree. I believe it is just a tool to justify sky high price predictions.
What Log Scale Actually Does -
Linear scale means, equal vertical distance = equal price change
Whereas Log scale means, equal vertical distance = equal % change
In assets that compound (#stocks, #gold), log scale is usually preferred for long-term charts because markets move in percentages, not #dollars.
However, early Crypto Was Price Discovery, Not Growth
In early #Bitcoin (2010–2013 especially)
BTC-2,75%
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Hopefully Non Farm Payrolls will give us a nice run up in 90 mins time.
#BTC could well give a decent leg higher from here
#BTC could well give a decent leg higher from here
BTC-2,75%
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ONCE AGAIN WARNING - THIS IS A SCAM AS I WAS HACKED - PLS IGNORE
I have received around 200 DMs and replied to ALL saying its a SCAM
I have received around 200 DMs and replied to ALL saying its a SCAM
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Well we did hit an ATL of 6, so at least we are up 50% from there but still a long way to go until the market feels any degree of comfort.
Traditionally such low readings represented good buying levels but I think its prudent to hang fire before diving back in to #BTC or #Crypto
Traditionally such low readings represented good buying levels but I think its prudent to hang fire before diving back in to #BTC or #Crypto
BTC-2,75%
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Lions_Lionish:
EXCLUSIVE LATEST COIN & MARKET UPDATES on GATE SQUARE ✅ FOLLOW ME NOW 🔥💰💵:Pls give me your thoughts ....
Ive been thinking about the risks that derivatives pose for #BTC considering the fact that $BTC value relies to a large extent on 21M limited supply - Derivatives INFLATE that supply.
You could say the same for #Gold #XAU but -
BTC derivatives are extremely reflexive
because of 24/7 global trading, with high leverage.
Liquidations create violent feedback loops
Price moves are often driven by margin mechanics, NOT fundamentals
Spot follows derivatives, not the other way around.
Gold derivatives are large, but:
Leverage is lower
Trading hours are constrained
Volat
Ive been thinking about the risks that derivatives pose for #BTC considering the fact that $BTC value relies to a large extent on 21M limited supply - Derivatives INFLATE that supply.
You could say the same for #Gold #XAU but -
BTC derivatives are extremely reflexive
because of 24/7 global trading, with high leverage.
Liquidations create violent feedback loops
Price moves are often driven by margin mechanics, NOT fundamentals
Spot follows derivatives, not the other way around.
Gold derivatives are large, but:
Leverage is lower
Trading hours are constrained
Volat
BTC-2,75%
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Pls give me your thoughts ....
Ive been thinking about the risks that derivatives pose for #BTC considering the fact that $BTC value relies to a large extent on 21M limited supply - Derivatives INFLATE that supply.
You could say the same for #Gold but -
BTC derivatives are extremely reflexive
because of 24/7 global trading, with high leverage.
Liquidations create violent feedback loops
Price moves are often driven by margin mechanics, NOT fundamentals
Spot follows derivatives, not the other way around.
Gold derivatives are large, but:
Leverage is lower
Trading hours are constrained
Volatility
Ive been thinking about the risks that derivatives pose for #BTC considering the fact that $BTC value relies to a large extent on 21M limited supply - Derivatives INFLATE that supply.
You could say the same for #Gold but -
BTC derivatives are extremely reflexive
because of 24/7 global trading, with high leverage.
Liquidations create violent feedback loops
Price moves are often driven by margin mechanics, NOT fundamentals
Spot follows derivatives, not the other way around.
Gold derivatives are large, but:
Leverage is lower
Trading hours are constrained
Volatility
BTC-2,75%
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#BTC most #Crypto & #ALTs are progressing exactly as anticipated in a final b wave before c down to finalise a large WXY correction. Once complete we should then move aggressively higher (perhaps due to easing monetary conditions)
BTC-2,75%
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Could be a good time to jump into #SOL with some tight stop-losses in place.We may well get a decent bounce from here imo
SOL-3,15%
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